Sprott on lessons unlearned

by Jolyon on 17 April, 2010

Eric Sprott has an excellent paper on the financial crisis and how we collectively appear to have learned nothing from it.

So where does this leave us for the decade ahead? In bad fiscal shape. It seems as if we’re just making the same mistakes over again, and on a far larger scale. We have passed the debt obligations of the financial system onto the governments. We have liquefied the system beyond any rational explanation, more than doubling the monetary base since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Social Security, which was in balance in year 2000, is now underfunded by $15 trillion dollars. Total unfunded obligations of the US Government are now $104 trillion. If we add the $6 trillion of outstanding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt and the $12 trillion of outstanding national debt, we arrive at a total US government debt obligation of $122 trillion. It’s a truly preposterous amount of money that will never be paid off in today’s dollars. As we wrote in our October 2009 article entitled “Dead Government Walking”, the US Government is on a trajectory to default on their obligations, and the same can realistically be said for the UK and Japan. The answer put forward by the US, UK and Japanese governments? Quantitative Easing and 0% interest rates. Have they learned nothing from the past decade?!

Indeed.
More thinking needed.

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