The pundits and experts are out in force, predicting a bad, but-not-quite-2005-bad hurricane season ahead. Take your pick from any one of these reports.
The one thing that did grab my attention, though, was this quote in the FT report:
Colorado State University scientists said in April it expected nine hurricanes this season, five of them major. The probability of at least one of the major hurricanes hitting the US east coast was 81 per cent, the scientists said, while Florida had a 64 per cent chance of being hit by a major hurricane. [emphasis added]
That’s right – an 81% chance of being hit by a ‘major’ hurricane if you live on the eastern seaboard.
Well, I guess we can only hope it’s not a ‘major’ conurbation, though it’s pretty hard to say which gaps between reasonably big towns you could slide a Cat 4 into.
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